Bitcoin slipped back toward the $66,000 zone while Ethereum traded at $2,043 as geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, combined with oil price spikes, created volatility in crypto markets. The selloff was intensified by spot ETF outflows of $173.76 million, adding immediate institutional selling pressure to an already nervous market environment. Lower interest rates typically lift crypto assets since they make holding cash less attractive, and Goldman Sachs forecasts suggest this could provide meaningful tailwinds for Bitcoin in the second half of 2026.

Market analysts are closely watching how global events unfold, as crypto recovery depends heavily on geopolitical developments. If tensions between the US and Iran ease, markets could bounce back quickly. Additionally, if interest rate cuts happen later in 2026 as expected by Goldman Sachs, crypto could benefit significantly from the resulting liquidity environment.

Pi42's Co-Founder and CEO Avinash Shekhar commented that this phase calls for measured participation rather than aggressive positioning. The current environment requires careful risk management as markets remain highly sensitive to macro factors such as geopolitical developments and global liquidity conditions. For now, the market is likely to trade sideways with a slight downward bias until there's more clarity on both geopolitics and economic policy.